Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032967 0.038182 0.043964 0.050851 0.058836 0.067806 0.078656
2026-01-11 0.024732 0.031540 0.039846 0.050735 0.064657 0.081887 0.104878
2026-01-18 0.020175 0.027674 0.037514 0.051392 0.070507 0.095980 0.132631
2026-01-25 0.017314 0.025211 0.036205 0.052667 0.076775 0.110918 0.163196
2026-02-01 0.014418 0.022092 0.033333 0.051051 0.078399 0.119212 0.185141
2026-02-08 0.012494 0.020033 0.031587 0.050654 0.081497 0.129733 0.211487
2026-02-15 0.010937 0.018273 0.029989 0.050143 0.084171 0.139706 0.238048
2026-02-22 0.009912 0.017203 0.029299 0.050926 0.088920 0.153436 0.272438
2026-03-01 0.008869 0.015948 0.028112 0.050658 0.091755 0.164163 0.302906
2026-03-08 0.007814 0.014522 0.026436 0.049272 0.092362 0.170954 0.327022
2026-03-15 0.006911 0.013249 0.024865 0.047845 0.092651 0.177094 0.350559
2026-03-22 0.006424 0.012692 0.024528 0.048673 0.097265 0.191791 0.392446
2026-03-29 0.005898 0.012005 0.023886 0.048873 0.100766 0.204946 0.433445
2026-04-05 0.005418 0.011351 0.023232 0.048970 0.104079 0.218160 0.476466
2026-04-12 0.005050 0.010879 0.022883 0.049643 0.108662 0.234520 0.528432
2026-04-19 0.004771 0.010561 0.022809 0.050882 0.114599 0.254452 0.590996
2026-04-26 0.004283 0.009726 0.021536 0.049323 0.114122 0.260275 0.622101
2026-05-03 0.003943 0.009178 0.020826 0.048939 0.116260 0.272203 0.669153
2026-05-10 0.003631 0.008656 0.020109 0.048446 0.118067 0.283562 0.716349
2026-05-17 0.003434 0.008382 0.019929 0.049203 0.122965 0.302823 0.785848
2026-05-24 0.003189 0.007964 0.019362 0.048943 0.125316 0.316161 0.842013
2026-05-31 0.002904 0.007412 0.018410 0.047605 0.124763 0.322171 0.879719
2026-06-07 0.002645 0.006895 0.017487 0.046227 0.123932 0.327367 0.915955